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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

6.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição4m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Other
Other 46%
Líder entre 14 opções
Qualidade do mercado

89 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

8,8 mil €

Liquidez

332,1 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

17.0% / 18.0%

Spread

5.9%

Spread moderado
Variação 7d

+3.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

19/02/26, 0:293/11/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Other46%

KalshiTambém disponível em Kalshi

2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

1.0%1a
Republicans win
Republicans win
-1.0%15%
Democrats, 10 to 12%
Democrats, 10 to 12%
+2.0%19%
Democrats, 8 to 10%
Democrats, 8 to 10%
+1.0%28%

+7 mais resultados

60 • Qualidade médiaSpread moderadoLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total3,8 mil €
Volume 24h162 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regras

This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.

Polymarket
  • For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election.
  • The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S.
  • House candidates in the election.
  • Only votes cast for candidates for U.S.
  • Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Regras

This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.

Polymarket
  • For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election.
  • The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S.
  • House candidates in the election.
  • Only votes cast for candidates for U.S.
  • Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.