PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 99%+0.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
11,9 €
Liquidez
4,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
1.3% / 1.6%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
5
Variação 7d
-0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
2/01/26, 20:40 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 1 megaton (1000 kilotons) of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
- The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
- If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 99% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? é resolvido?
- 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 1 megaton (1000 kilotons) of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.