MyriadFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados verificados limitadosEste mercado foi resolvido: No (98.3%)
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 2 de out. de 2026, 12:46 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes1.7%
No98.3%
Ganhou
Perdeu
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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
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LimitlessWill the Iranian regime be overthrown?
Manifold MarketsRegras
**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to "**Yes**" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern within the Market Period. - Resolves to “**No**” if not.
- **Resolution Details:**
- - A potential “Yes” resolution requires credible sources to confirm that the core institutions of the Islamic Republic—such as the Office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, or IRGC authority under clerical control—have been dismantled, rendered inoperative, or replaced by a fundamentally different system of governance, or that they have otherwise lost de facto control over most of Iran’s population.