MyriadProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 6%
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
9,1 €
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
-
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
12/01/26, 16:0430/09/26, 23:59
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes6%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por volume de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMais ativa | 97% | +94pt | 61,5 mil € | 195 mil € | há 15 minutos | Abrir → |
| MyriadEsta página | 94% | +91pt | 9,1 € | 1,3 mil € | há 7 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
1.1%2m
+0.0%3%
-0.0%97%
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total205,5 mil €
Volume 24h61,5 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to "**Yes**" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern within the Market Period. - Resolves to “**No**” if not.
- **Resolution Details:**
- - A potential “Yes” resolution requires credible sources to confirm that the core institutions of the Islamic Republic—such as the Office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, or IRGC authority under clerical control—have been dismantled, rendered inoperative, or replaced by a fundamentally different system of governance, or that they have otherwise lost de facto control over most of Iran’s population.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to "**Yes**" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern within the Market Period. - Resolves to “**No**” if not.
- **Resolution Details:**
- - A potential “Yes” resolution requires credible sources to confirm that the core institutions of the Islamic Republic—such as the Office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, or IRGC authority under clerical control—have been dismantled, rendered inoperative, or replaced by a fundamentally different system of governance, or that they have otherwise lost de facto control over most of Iran’s population.