Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 88%
Previsores
41
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
14/10/26, 23:43 UTC31/10/26, 23:43 UTC
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Resolves to YES if Zvi writes a post centered around Gemini 4 Argon before the deadline, that focuses on capabilities.
- A post primarily about its safety report DOES NOT COUNT.
- Resolves to NO if Zvi does not write such a post.
- Market will not resolve early to avoid leaking information, except if the post is up and this thus resolves YES.