PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
December 31 · —
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Referência guardada
December 31 10%
December 31 10%Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
347,5 €
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baixa liquidezContratos em aberto
1 mil US$
Compra / Venda
— / —
December 31Spread
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Comentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
14/10/26, 23:01 UTC1/02/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Maiores detentores
Carregando maiores detentores
Profundidade de mercado · December 31
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Argon model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Argon" and be a new Gemini Argon model release designated as newer than Gemini 4 Argon (gemini-4-argon, released October 13, 2026), regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors, including decimal version increases, new whole-number generations, or newer dated builds.
- For example, a newer Argon model named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Argon, including a decimal increase such as a 4.1 or a new whole-number generation such as a Gemini 5 Argon, or a newer Argon release under a new, distinct model identifier, would qualify, while Gemini 4 Argon itself, including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, price change, or thinking-level setting of it, and models whose name does not include "Argon," such as Gemini Pro, Gemini Flash, or Gemini Flash-Lite models, will not qualify.
- A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.