KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Above 43.6% · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Preço registado
Above 43.6% 98.5%Líder entre 9 opções
Above 43.6% 98.5%Qualidade do mercado
56 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
15,9 mil €
Contratos em aberto
9,1 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
Above 43.6%Spread
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
14/10/26, 16:00 UTC19/10/26, 14:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Above 43.6%
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 20, 2026
KalshiWill Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpen Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter?
KalshiWill an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 59.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Regras de cada resultado
- Above 43.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 43.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 49.8%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 49.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 50.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 56.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 56.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 59.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 59.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 60.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 62.4%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 62.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 64.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 64.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 65.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
