Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 59.3%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado7/12/25, 14:00 UTC31/12/48, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
This market resolves YES if a World War III occurs before the official release date of Grand Theft Auto 8.
- Resolution will be determined by whether a formal declaration of war or widely recognized international conflict meeting the definition of World War III has occurred prior to GTA 8's release.
- If a majority of news organizations call a conflict WW III, that will also be sufficient.
- No official release date has been announced.
- The market resolves NO if GTA 8 releases without a World War III occurring beforehand.
- Rockstar Games has not officially announced Grand Theft Auto 8, making the exact resolution date uncertain.
Mercados abertos
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
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- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will WW3 happen before GTA8??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 59% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will WW3 happen before GTA8? é resolvido?
- Will WW3 happen before GTA8? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2048.
- Como Will WW3 happen before GTA8? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if a World War III occurs before the official release date of Grand Theft Auto 8.