Will US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
One-OffFedInflaçãoTítulos e TesouroPolítica comercialBancos centrais1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 50.4%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado15/09/26, 02:07 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if on any daily reporting date before January 1, 2028, the official 10-year US Treasury yield is reported at or above 6.00%.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- The primary source of truth for resolution is:
- The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) series DGS10 (Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity).
- If FRED is unavailable or ceases publication, the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates ("10 Yr" column) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury will be used as the secondary source.
