Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 90%
Previsores
42
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado18/02/24, 21:03 UTC7/11/28, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Will resolve YES if the unemployment rate reaches 10% or higher at any point between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections in the United States according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Will resolve NO otherwise, after data for the whole period has been made public.
- May resolve N/A if an event makes it clear there will be no presidential election in 2024 or 2028.
- On the other hand, if for example the 2028 election gets delayed and is still referred to as the 2028 election but occurs in 2029, it will not resolve as N/A and be extended until the actual election occurs.
- Source used for resolution: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
- Screenshot showing data up to November 2023 for reference:
