Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Other 23%Líder entre 30 opções
Other 23%Previsores
46
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado8/11/24, 11:41 UTC26/11/28, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
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Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegras
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
- Anyone that adds a new candidate and bets for them will get a Ṁ10 subsidy for their contribution of new information and potentially new candidates.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 68%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 24%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Também disponível em Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
