Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
1.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição2a
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
J.D. Vance 40.9%-1.0ptLíder entre 21 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
4,3 €
Liquidez
141,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
1
Variação 7d
+2.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
30/07/26, 18:59 UTC6/11/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
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LimitlessRegras
This market will resolve according to the first individual that the named outcome endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by the named outcome that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by the named outcome of the individual for President in the 2028 United States presidential election.
- An endorsement of an individual for the Republican Party’s nomination to the 2028 United States Presidential election will qualify.
- Endorsements of a candidate for the Democratic Party's nomination without also endorsing that candidate for President in the general election will not qualify.
- The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Marco and J.D.”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
- An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President.
