PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 90.1%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
13,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
2
Variação 7d
-1.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado22/12/25, 19:001/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
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- Volume total
- € 180,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 945,4 mil
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 601 mi
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
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- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
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- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027??
- A Polymarket cota No em 90% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.