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Dados de 10 de out. de 2026, 07:01 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atual
JD Vance 41.2%-0.1ptLíder entre 31 opções
Qualidade do mercado
22 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaTraders
3,596
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
24/02/26, 12:35 UTC7/11/28, 13:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRegras
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - If, by January 20, 2029, the three resolution sources have **not** unanimously called the same winner, the market will resolve based on who is inaugurated as President of the United States. - If any of the three sources retracts, reverses, or updates its projection before unanimity is reached, the market will wait for the next moment when all three agree. - Provisional or partial calls by only one or two outlets will not trigger resolution.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 81%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 27%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Também disponível em Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
