Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 65.6%
Previsores
34
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado27/12/23, 12:46 UTC1/01/36, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
PolymarketWill a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Same question but 2030: https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-ukraine-join-nato-before-end-o-3f350ddb8055?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg
- Same question but 2040:
- https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-ukraine-join-nato-before-end-o-47e71f524701?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035? é resolvido?
- Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2036.
- Como Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Same question but 2030: https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-ukraine-join-nato-before-end-o-3f350ddb8055?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg