Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 74.7%
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14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado2/03/26, 10:16 UTC31/12/26, 13:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurUSD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
PolymarketRegras
Update 2026-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Russian-Ukrainian war casualties do NOT count towards resolution.
- This market is specifically for new conflicts (such as Iran bombing a European country).
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
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- Volume 24h
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- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
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- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 100,1 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
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- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 75% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026 é resolvido?
- Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Update 2026-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Russian-Ukrainian war casualties do NOT count towards resolution.