Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029?

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Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029??

A Manifold Markets cota The Gini coefficient is less than 0.60 em 92.2% em 29 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029? é resolvido?

Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 14 de fevereiro de 2029.

Como Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Freddie deBoer's proposed a bet with Scott Alexander, predicting that all of these 17 conditions will be true: I'm Offering Scott Alexander a Wager About AI's Effects Over the Next Three Years.

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POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-3.0pt76.2%
• No+3.0pt23.8%

Volume total

€ 1,1 mi

Volume 24h

€ 98,4 mil

KALSHI

PPI MoM in October

• Above 0.4%+56.0pt48%
• Above 0.3%50%
• Above 0.2%-9.0pt51%

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)-6.0pt75.3%
• 1 (25 bps)+7.5pt23.8%
• 3 (75 bps)-0.1pt1%

+3 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike76.2%
• Hike–Pause–Pause+2.0pt21.8%
• Other+0.3pt2%

+6 mais resultados

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%+1.0pt93.5%
• Above 0.1%75.5%
• Above 0.2%+1.0pt46%

KALSHI

CPI in October (exact value)

• Exactly 0.3%-2.0pt42.5%
• Exactly 0.2%28%
• Exactly 0.4%+2.0pt

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