Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
One-OffGeopolíticaMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 62.1%
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27
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado5/03/26, 16:13 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, the United States conducts ground military operations inside mainland Iran.
- “Mainland Iran” excludes offshore islands such as Kharg Island.
- For this market to resolve YES, all of the following must occur:
- At least 100 uniformed members of the United States Armed Forces are physically present on land inside Iranian sovereign territory.
- These personnel are participating in military ground operations (e.g., raids, combat operations, seizures of facilities, or other military activity conducted on the ground).
- The following do not qualify:
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 62% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027? é resolvido?
- Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, the United States conducts ground military operations inside mainland Iran.