Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?
US PoliticsGeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastLatin America3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 63.2%
Previsores
31
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado3/01/26, 07:35 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Russia conduct military operations in any another country against ISIS-K before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia conduct military operations in Afghanistan against ISIS-K before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
PolymarketWill the United States conduct a military strike against Cuba in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnother US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
In 2025 the US government under Trump conducted overt military operations against seven countries; Iran, Iraq, Nigeria, Somalia, Syria, Venezuela and Yemen.
- Will the US conduct overt military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?
- Overt military operations are attacks by air, sea or ground conducted by Department of Defense forces.
- Covert action strikes will be counted only when conducted by DoD and later officially acknowledged by the US government.
- IT IS HARD TO BELIEVE I HAVE TO SAY THIS BUT STRIKES IN THE USA DO NOT COUNT. 🇺🇸
- Resolution criteria
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695,7 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 294,7 mil
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 291,3 mil
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: In 2025 the US government under Trump conducted overt military operations against seven countries; Iran, Iraq, Nigeria, Somalia, Syria, Venezuela and Yemen.