Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 88.2%
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130
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado8/04/23, 03:06 UTC2/01/30, 02:59 UTC
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Regras
There needs to be direct armed conflict, so stuff like cold war or proxy wars in general don't count.
- US providing weapons to Ukraine (or any other country) but not operating them through its military also doesn't count.
- In case of doubt, I'll ask random people within my social circle (not Russians, Americans and not Manifold users) whether the US is at war with Russia.
