Will "The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Fiction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffIASociedade e cultura3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 63.2%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado6/11/25, 16:37 UTC1/02/27, 00:00 UTC
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Fiction is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.