Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualZohran Mamdani 31%Líder entre 30 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-19.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado31/10/26, 09:27 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiWho will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsWill Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
FutuurRegras
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtime/times-person-of-the-year/kxtime-26
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If (answer) is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from TIME.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
