Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 65.6%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado11/12/25, 18:56 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
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Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
FutuurRegras
This market resolves YES if the winner of Time's Person of the Year in 2026 is given to one human person.
- This market would resolve YES for:
- A single individual person (e.g. "Donald Trump")
- An individual plus a concept or non-human entity (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine")
- It would resolve NO for:
- More than one person, or a nonspecific group (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris" or "The Architects of AI")
Mercados abertos
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- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
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- $25M+15.5pt94%
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KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 mais resultados
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Which party will win the House in 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? é resolvido?
- Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if the winner of Time's Person of the Year in 2026 is given to one human person.