Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
US PoliticsOne-OffIARussia / Ukraine3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 64%
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26
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado11/12/25, 20:45 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves YES if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is exactly one specific human person, with no addendums or funny business (e.g. "Taylor Swift," "Ben Bernanke," "Donald Trump," etc.).
- This market is different from the other similar market, as this market will resolve NO in cases of a person + a concept.
- This market resolves NO if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is:
- A group or concept (e.g. "The Architects of A.I.," "You")
- A person and a concept (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine," or theoretically "Sam Altman and ChatGPT")
- More than one specific named individual (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris", "Ronald Reagan and Yuri Andropov")
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 64% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person? é resolvido?
- Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is exactly one specific human person, with no addendums or funny business (e.g. "Taylor Swift," "Ben Bernanke," "Donald Trump," etc.).