Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 62%
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87
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Desatualizado15/01/24, 02:14 UTC2/01/34, 04:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
At the start of 2034 will the consensus by historians or other credible sources will the Israel Hamas conflict be described as genocide.
- Any or action directly leading from this conflict will also count.
- But in general it should involve either Israel or Palestine.
- Since this is a bit vague a lot of conversation will need to be had in the comments.
- For a baseline if under a list of genocides Wikipedia has a genocide involving Israel and Palestine (It would have to start after or during 2023) this would resolve yes.
- If the United Nations votes and considers events involving Israel and Palestine a genocide this would also resolve yes.
Mercados abertos
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- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
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- Volume 24h
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- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-19.5pt49%
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- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.6%
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- May 8-1.4pt0%
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- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
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- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de O conflito israelense-Hamas será descrito como um genocídio em 10 anos (2034)??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 62% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando O conflito israelense-Hamas será descrito como um genocídio em 10 anos (2034)? é resolvido?
- O conflito israelense-Hamas será descrito como um genocídio em 10 anos (2034)? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2034.
- Como O conflito israelense-Hamas será descrito como um genocídio em 10 anos (2034)? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: At the start of 2034 will the consensus by historians or other credible sources will the Israel Hamas conflict be described as genocide.