Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 90.6%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado31/01/23, 19:28 UTC31/12/29, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which year will the first nuclear power plant in Poland start producing power?
Manifold MarketsWill unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump follow through on his power plant/bridge threats?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWill any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegras
This prediction market resolves YES when the first Small Modular Reactor (SMR) power plant in Poland starts producing energy (including tests), as defined and determined by diverse mainstream media reports.
- If this does not happen before the January 1, 2029 deadline, however, the market resolves NO.
- „Pierwszy SMR powstanie w 2028 r.
- To już niebawem.
- I to jest czas realny do wykonania.” (Daniel Obajtek, 2023-01-31)
- „Mam taką nadzieję, że w 2028 r., te prace zdecydowanie przyspieszają, powstanie pierwszy SMR w Polsce.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 470,8 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 100,1 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029? é resolvido?
- Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This prediction market resolves YES when the first Small Modular Reactor (SMR) power plant in Poland starts producing energy (including tests), as defined and determined by diverse mainstream media reports.