FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 87%
Não 87%Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
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PolymarketRegras
This event predicts whether any country will become a new nuclear-armed state between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, becoming a nuclear power means successfully possessing at least one operational nuclear weapon.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be authoritative international sources, including SIPRI and official government confirmations.
- If authoritative sources confirm that a country newly acquired operational nuclear weapons during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Countries that previously possessed nuclear weapons, even if dormant or undeclared, will not count as new nuclear powers.
