Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 58%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado11/06/24, 19:30 UTC1/01/31, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
See this page for information about the competition: https://lab42.global/arcathon/.
- See also this podcast for an interview with Francois Chollet about the challenge and his predictions: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/francois-chollet
- The fundamental characteristics of an "LLM" for the purposes of this question:
- Sequence-to-sequence type model.
- (State-space and transformer models would both count, for example.)
- No substantial post-hoc computation (like tree search).
