Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (67.6%)
Resolvido: 19 de ago. de 2026, 19:51
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 67.6%
Previsores
44
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 horas
Desatualizado14/08/26, 17:4519/08/26, 19:51
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes67.6%
No32.400000000000006%
67.6%
32.4%
Regras
This market refers to any event that happens starting at 5pm EST on August 14, until 5pm EST on August 21.
- This is intended as a regular series.
- Something happens is defined as anything that:
- Zvi does NOT know about on August 14, 2026 at 5pm EST.
- Obligates (not merely allows) a speed premium post to Don't Worry About the Vase
- Is about AI.
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 158,8 mil
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 168,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 155,2 mil
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,9 mi
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will something happen in AI the week of Aug 21, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 68% em 20 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will something happen in AI the week of Aug 21, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will something happen in AI the week of Aug 21, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 19 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Will something happen in AI the week of Aug 21, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market refers to any event that happens starting at 5pm EST on August 14, until 5pm EST on August 21.