Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 95.2%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado8/11/24, 17:24 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
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The delivery method of the device is irrelevant.
- The device itself must detonate causing a nuclear chain reaction and explosion.
- A dirty bomb does not cause a chain reaction and so will resolve to “No.”
- The territory of Ukraine is considered to be all territory claimed prior to the 2014 Russian invasion and seizure of Crimea and Donbas.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The delivery method of the device is irrelevant.