Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRússia / Ucrânia2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97.4%
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14
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binary
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado8/11/24, 17:24 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
The delivery method of the device is irrelevant.
- The device itself must detonate causing a nuclear chain reaction and explosion.
- A dirty bomb does not cause a chain reaction and so will resolve to “No.”
- The territory of Ukraine is considered to be all territory claimed prior to the 2014 Russian invasion and seizure of Crimea and Donbas.