Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoMiddle East2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.7%
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40
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado12/03/26, 20:05 UTC20/01/29, 20:49 UTC
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FutuurRegras
This market regards the current Trump/Vance administration, including if J.D. Vance takes over from Donald Trump for any reason in the current presidential term ending January 20th, 2029.
- If a nuclear weapon is confirmed detonated by the United States government, this market resolves Yes.
- This includes weapons testing (but not just hypothetical theories about Richter scale readings in Nevada).
- In order for a denied event (test or strike) to count, the evidence would have to be widely acknowledged by mainstream media, ie.
- CNN and WaPo and the BBC all saying that there was a seismic event AND a radioactive event AND major inside sources all saying the same thing.
- This can also resolve Yes if a US proxy uses a nuclear device with the Trump administration's confirmed approval and assistance, such as if the US provides Israel with a nuclear device and with intelligence to deploy it, which is then detonated.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb? é resolvido?
- Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market regards the current Trump/Vance administration, including if J.D. Vance takes over from Donald Trump for any reason in the current presidential term ending January 20th, 2029.