Will "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffIATecnologia1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.9%
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Atrasado12/06/26, 09:44 UTC1/02/28, 00:00 UTC
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? é resolvido?
- Will "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2028.
- Como Will "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.