Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85.3%
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54
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado23/04/24, 11:55 UTC29/12/27, 07:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Both nuclear sharing and own developement count as YES.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+7.0pt81.4%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt16.7%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.8pt1%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mi
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volume total
- € 58,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 290,2 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt56.1%
- October 3131.8%
- September 30-2.0pt10.3%
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POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-3.0pt10%
- September 30-1.6pt2%
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POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.5pt96%
- Yes-0.5pt4%
- Volume total
- € 36,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 129,1 mil
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+1.5pt63%
- December-1.5pt41%
- October+3.5pt27%
+9 mais resultados
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 85% em 18 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 29 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Both nuclear sharing and own developement count as YES.