Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 80%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado18/12/25, 22:59 UTC18/12/26, 22:49 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?
KalshiWill anyone be criminally charged based on evidence from the Epstein files in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIs "jerky" a reference to human meat in Epstein files?
Manifold MarketsHas anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?
Manifold MarketsEpstein files prop bets (ADD YOURS)
Manifold MarketsWho will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiRegras
Market Resolution Criteria
- • Yes (Useless): No new Epstein-related federal prosecutions initiated by end date Dec. 31 2026 11:59pm with public statements from DOJ attributing failure to redactions.
- • No (Useful): At least one indictment or guilty plea directly enabled by file contents, confirmed via court dockets.
- This is my first prediction question.
- I will monitor comments for links or input that points toward resolution, above and beyond my own observations.
- Update 2026-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has decided to keep the market open and not resolve early.
