Will open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)?

A Manifold Markets cota No em 53.7% em 27 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4) é resolvido?

Will open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4) deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.

Como Will open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4) é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Prediction #4 from: My Takeaways From AI 2027 - by Scott Alexander

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+12.0pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt92%
• November 30,+31.0pt90%

+15 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 5,3 mi

Volume 24h

€ 306,1 mil

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+1.0pt55.1%
• Google36.7%
• OpenAI-0.7pt5.1%

+12 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.7pt89.7%
• Anthropic+0.3pt10.3%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 mais resultados

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.2pt58.5%
• Gemini-0.7pt31.1%
• ChatGPT-0.2pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-5.0pt29.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.3pt22.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.8pt17.6%

+7 mais resultados

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