Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026?
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 57.6%
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Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado1/06/26, 14:36 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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As agent frameworks mature, high-volume, low-cost "inference-optimized" or highly distilled models may completely take over background agent loops from high-cost frontier models.
- This market resolves to YES if, on December 31, 2026, each of the top 3 models individually costs less than $1.00 per 1 million tokens.
- For a model to qualify, the sum of its individual input price per million tokens and its output price per million tokens must be less than $1.00.
- If Model #1, Model #2, and Model #3 all individually cost under $1.00/M tokens, this market resolves to YES.
- If any model in the top 3 spots costs $1.00/M tokens or more, this market resolves to NO.
- Resolves based on the "This Month" filter of the OpenRouter LLM Leaderboard (openrouter.ai/rankings) on Dec 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT (-ish).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 58% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As agent frameworks mature, high-volume, low-cost "inference-optimized" or highly distilled models may completely take over background agent loops from high-cost frontier models.