Will OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 74% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026? é resolvido?

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de janeiro de 2027.

Como Will OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria (strict):

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+20.0pt95%
• December 15,+21.0pt94%
• November 30,+40.0pt92%

+9 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 5,2 mi

Volume 24h

€ 324,7 mil

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+20.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+4.0pt30.8%
• $2.0–$2.25T+4.3pt23.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.6pt16.4%

+7 mais resultados

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-2.9pt54.6%
• Gemini-0.3pt33.2%
• ChatGPT-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-6.4pt88.5%
• Anthropic+1.2pt8.3%
• OpenAI+1.4pt2.1%

+18 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31+1.6pt95%
• October 31+4.5pt36%
• October 29+8.0pt35%

+17 mais resultados

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