Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 81%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado2/01/26, 07:37 UTC4/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 81% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026 é resolvido?
- The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 4 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026