Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked?
One-OffGeopolíticaPolíticaRussia / Ukraine3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 75.6%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado19/06/24, 16:49 UTC1/01/27, 08:00 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution Criteria
- Ukraine Clause: As the countries signed the defense pact after the Russian annexations and invasions of Ukraine, this conflict will not trigger resolutions of this market.
- Definition: For this market, "honor" means providing direct military assistance, such as deploying troops or launching military strikes.
- It does not include providing munitions, technology, or training.
- Trigger Event: An official declaration or widely recognized military engagement by Russia or North Korea in response to a new conflict with a third party.
- Verification: Confirmation from reputable news sources or official government statements.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 76% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked? é resolvido?
- Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria