Will Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?
IAOne-OffTecnologia4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 63.9%
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54
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado9/01/24, 17:03 UTC1/01/31, 04:59 UTC
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FutuurRegras
Resolves to YES if Microsoft successfully builds and puts into operation a nuclear power plant built for the purpose of powering one of its data centers, or someone else builds and puts into operation such a nuclear power plant for such a purpose.
- Resolves to NO if OpenAI announces it is withholding one or more products from Microsoft's deal due to the AGI exception clause in their contract, or otherwise announces that they have achieved AGI.
- Resolves N/A if neither occurs by the deadline, or it is clear neither will occur by then, as an escape valve.
