Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?
One-OffIA16aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72%
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Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado20/08/23, 22:09 UTC2/01/43, 05:59 UTC
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Details in this blog post.
- Barnett wins if:
- By January 1, 2043, real gross world product exceeds 130% of its previous yearly peak value for any single year
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- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 72% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043? é resolvido?
- Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2043.
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