Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 88.5%
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19
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 31 minutos
18/09/23, 07:11 UTC1/01/35, 06:59 UTC
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This question resolves YES if Wikipedia or similar mainstream sources of scientific information to a general audience say that there is currently microscopic life on Venus that is living independently of human support.
- This will still resolve YES if the life is a result of human contamination.
- This is largely because I think there is a non-negligible probability that if we do discover life in this timeframe we will not be able to discern if it is from human contamination or not.
- Human support means that the life's continued survival on venus requires in some way resources provided by humans; this does not need to have happened intentionally.
- So microbes surviving on a probe or remnants of a probe would not count, for example.
