Will "Increasing returns to effort are common" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffIATecnologiaSociedade e cultura3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85.3%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado3/03/26, 23:03 UTC1/02/27, 00:00 UTC
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Increasing returns to effort are common is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
