Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffTecnologiaIASociety & Culture1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.6%
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado10/06/26, 18:581/02/28, 0:00
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem pretty legible is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercados abertos
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $68,000 or above99%
- $75,500 or above99%
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- € 1,2 mi
- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
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- 180-199+4.0pt22.6%
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- € 974,7 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 1, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+13.0pt56%
- 75° or below+15.0pt33%
- 78° to 79°-22.0pt5.5%
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KALSHIETH price on Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- $2,280 or above98%
+37 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 165,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 165,9 mil
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.8%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+1.2pt10.8%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.4pt9.9%
+25 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 1, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
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- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 88% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? é resolvido?
- Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2028.
- Como Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.