Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.9%
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11
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado6/07/23, 14:44 UTC1/01/30, 07:59 UTC
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Resolves yes if: 1. there is a global ban on AI training runs larger than some threshold OR 2.
- AI alignment is solved OR 3. there is a large decline in humanity's capacity to make GPUs
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 81% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves yes if: 1. there is a global ban on AI training runs larger than some threshold OR 2.