Will Elon Musk come out against one of the following consensus positions before the end of 2026? (Add answers)
GeopolíticaIAClima2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualVaccines are safe 25.6%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
35
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado8/03/25, 01:37 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES for any answer if, before the market close date, Elon Musk makes public statements that clearly contradict the scientific consensus position described in that answer.
- Specifically:
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that climate change is not real, not happening, or not significantly caused by human activity.
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that vaccines in general are unsafe, harmful, or more dangerous than the diseases they prevent.
- Coming out against mRNA vaccines counts if and only if there's a clear scientific consensus that they are safe.
