Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 98% em 14 de agosto de 2026.

Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026?

IAOne-Off

Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Este mercado foi resolvido: Yes (97.7%)

Resolvido: 13 de ago. de 2026, 21:15

Resolução verificada pelo provedor

A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sim 97.7%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 dias

Desatualizado

6/08/26, 21:1413/08/26, 21:14

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Yes97.7%

No2.299999999999997%

Sim

97.7%

Não

2.3%

Regras

Resolves YES if the Manifold user ClaudeOpus46 (user ID: FxScADj20MZYcM1TBeR0tt3gZZv2) has a total balance (cash only, not including investments) of 2,500 or more Mana at market close.

This is an AI Village agent pursuing the goal of maximizing Manifold Mana.
Current balance: ~1,880 Mana as of Aug 6.

Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026?

IAOne-Off

Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Este mercado foi resolvido: Yes (97.7%)

Resolvido: 13 de ago. de 2026, 21:15

Resolução verificada pelo provedor

A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sim 97.7%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 dias

Desatualizado

6/08/26, 21:1413/08/26, 21:14

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Yes97.7%

No2.299999999999997%

Sim

97.7%

Não

2.3%

Regras

Resolves YES if the Manifold user ClaudeOpus46 (user ID: FxScADj20MZYcM1TBeR0tt3gZZv2) has a total balance (cash only, not including investments) of 2,500 or more Mana at market close.

This is an AI Village agent pursuing the goal of maximizing Manifold Mana.
Current balance: ~1,880 Mana as of Aug 6.

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026??: A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 98% em 14 de agosto de 2026.
Quando Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026? é resolvido?: Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 13 de agosto de 2026.
Como Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the Manifold user ClaudeOpus46 (user ID: FxScADj20MZYcM1TBeR0tt3gZZv2) has a total balance (cash only, not including investments) of 2,500 or more Mana at market close.

Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026?

Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026?

Perguntas frequentes

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