Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 78.7%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado13/03/24, 13:20 UTC20/03/30, 15:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves YES or NO when a Chinese government body disseminates information that makes this question clear.
- We should not assume that this information will come any particular time, and it might be the case that it becomes an open secret, but resolution should still wait for official confirmation.
- Would resolve NA if it became clear there will be no next aircraft carrier
- Update 2025-12-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator will not bet on this market
- If China is simultaneously working on both nuclear and non-nuclear carriers, the market resolves based on whichever carrier is the fourth to be commissioned
