Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffChina1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 66.8%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado29/03/26, 13:43 UTC31/12/27, 15:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria:
- This market resolves to YES if, before 2027, reliable media or official sources confirm that vessels belonging to the People's Republic of China (PRC) have physically boarded and inspected a commercial merchant ship en route to Taiwan.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- To resolve YES, ALL of the following conditions must be met:
- The Actor (Who is boarding?): The boarding must be conducted by official PRC state vessels or personnel.
- This includes the China Coast Guard (CCG), the People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), or the Maritime Safety Administration (MSA).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 67% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria: