Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 55.3%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado31/07/26, 10:44 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before December 31, 2026, at 23:59 Moscow Time, a ballistic missile launched from Ukraine hits any target within territory currently controlled by Russia, at the distance greater than 500km from territory currently controlled by Ukraine.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Definitions and Rules:
- Ballistic Missile: The weapon must be classified as a ballistic missile (such as Fire Point's FP-9, or any Sapsan/Hrim-2 variant confirmed to have a range exceeding 500 km).
- Cruise missiles (e.g., Neptunes, Flamingos), rocket-drones (e.g., Palianytsia), and standard kamikaze drones do not qualify.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 55% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria