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Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 05:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado14/05/26, 21:23 UTC30/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be Angela Rayner's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2026?
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KalshiWhich party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
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Manifold MarketsHow many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
KalshiRegras
"Yes" if Rayner is Prime Minister on or before 1st December 2026, and "No" otherwise.
- Does not resolve "No" immediately if someone other than Rayner and Starmer becomes PM, since they may resign and be replaced by Rayner.
- Resolves "No" immediately if Rayner dies.
- Resolves "N/A" if the office of Prime Minister is abolished before December.
